Be a Successful Real Estate Investor
We've all seen ads or infomercials on late-night TV about making
a fortune in real estate. There are always lots of testimonials from
past seminar customers that you are supposed to believe, but no
substance. If you ever went to an actual seminar, you'd find that
there's not much substance there either. They are in the business of
selling books, tapes, and seminars, not making you rich.
The flaw with any program that claims it will teach you how to
make lots of money (in your "spare time" no less) is that if it were
so easy, they would be doing it instead of teaching it.
You can make lots of money in real estate, but the truth
is that it isn't that easy. It takes work and you have to know what
you're doing. Money helps, too. You are lucky to have found a web
page that cuts through the BS and gives you the true picture. And
it's free!
The First Deal
A typical first deal of a new
aspiring-millionaire-real-estate-seminar-graduate goes something
like this:
He pays too much for the property because he didn't evaluate the
market value properly. He thinks it's a good deal because he got it
for very little down, and the seminar said little or nothing down is
good. He underestimates the construction costs and pays too much for
the remodel. He hires contractors that do a lousy job and charge too
much. Half the time he doesn't understand what they're saying
because they don't speak English and he doesn't speak Spanish.
In an effort to recoup his investment, he puts it up for sale for
more than it's worth, and it doesn't sell. He refuses to reduce the
price and sell it at a loss, because that would prove that he
screwed up. The numbers don't lie. So instead, he decides to rent
it. According to his calculations, he's now breaking even, but he
doesn't factor in things like taxes, insurance, maintenance,
vacancy, etc. After a number of years, the house appreciates to
cover most of the loss, and he sells it. Still in denial, he
rationalizes that he really didn't lose anything.
He's embarrassed about his blunder, so he doesn't talk about it.
Or maybe he'll be a testimonial for the seminar company and say what
he originally paid for it and what he sold it for. Of course, he'll
leave out the part about the remodel costs and the 5 years in
between. There's also a good chance that his qualifications will
earn him a position teaching at one of those real estate seminars.
The Flip, the Fix, and the Hold
It is useful to categorize real estate deals based on how one
derives one's profit. The "Flip" is when you buy something at less
than its true value, and immediately resell it at a profit. The
"Fix" is when you improve a property in such a way that its value is
increased by more than you spend on the improvements. The "Hold" is
the profit that comes with an increase in value over time. All real
estate profits will fall into one of these 3 categories. The first
common mistake is not having a clear understanding of where the
profit is going to come from.
The Flip
The profit in a Flip is made when the property is bought, not
when it is sold. It must be bought at enough of a discount to cover
all holding costs, transaction costs, and a profit based on being
sold at market. You can't assume it will sell above market in order
to make your profit.
Successful Flippers spend most of their time analyzing deals.
They may look at 100 deals for every one they act on. They
understand values, and can "smell" immediately when a deal stinks
based on a brief telephone conversation with a seller or some simple
fact they uncover.
A novice may spend days analyzing a deal that a pro would dismiss
in a New York second. Novices also tend to subscribe to the "greater
fool" theory, which is when one looks for a fool greater than
oneself to pay even more than the first fool did for an overpriced
property.
Common examples of smelly deals from a Flipping standpoint:
Example 1: Seller bought the house new 2 years ago for
$300,000 with a 100% loan, invested another $20,000 in
landscaping and various other things, and he is now willing to
sell it to you for zero down. Reality: There's no
equity, and he probably tried to sell it unsuccessfully before
you found out about it. New homes almost never build up any
equity in the first few years. Will probably go to foreclosure.
Example 2: A house that's been on MLS for 30 days.
Reality: If it had Flip potential, it would be gone in
1-2 days, or the Realtor would have bought it.
Example 3: A novice investor (unfortunately one of our
clients – after the big mistake), bought a house from a builder
in December 2005 for $325,000, and supposedly got a good deal
because the builder needed to sell it before the end of the
year. His plan was to resell the new home at a profit.
Reality: That's all one needs to know to figure out the
investor isn't going to make any money. The builder is likely to
know more about real estate than an inexperienced investor, so
I'll bet my money on the builder. If you talk to the investor,
he has it all figured out, and knows the values and the other
sales in the area, etc. An experienced Flipper would have
chuckled at the builder's sales pitch. (Like most people who's
homes are overpriced and who cancel their listing with us, he
didn't appreciate our honesty and advice, and surmised that his
house wasn't selling because there was something wrong with
us. He listed with another Realtor, and it was on the
market a total of 483 days and never sold, even at $334,000. We
estimate his loss in carrying costs alone while on the market
was over $40,000. Our guess is he finally gave up and leased it,
and will continue to lose money on it.)
Foreclosure auctions are overrated. There are generally more
people over-bidding than there are properties with any equity to bid
on. To find a good deal, you need to do a lot of homework on a lot
of properties and be ready to bid on any that may be able to be
bought at a reasonable price.
The best deals generally have 2 qualities: There aren't a
multitude of bidders bidding against you, and there is a piece of
information that you have that other people probably don't.
A few examples of deals that smelled good right from the
beginning:
Example 1: A buyer we worked with figured out that a bank
foreclosure that was going to be coming on the market had a lot
large enough to be subdivided into 3 parcels based on current
zoning. It was valued based on price per square foot of the
house. The property was bought for $325,000, and the market
value "split up" was over $400,000. The buyer went on line every
morning to see if it was listed yet. When it became available,
he called me to put in an offer the same day, and got it. If he
had missed it that day, it would definitely have been gone.
Example 2: Seller was in a chapter 13 bankruptcy. Any money
that was to come out of this particular property was going to go
to the bankruptcy estate for the creditors, so he had no
incentive to care how much it sold for. It was undervalued, and
the bankruptcy trustee approved the sale, probably because he
was too busy to do any lengthy analysis. This property was
bought for about 80% of it's value.
Example 3: A neighborhood property looked dilapidated and had
lots of weeds growing all over. A little inquiring led to a
probate lawyer from out of town. An old man died and the
proceeds of the house would be shared by 4 brothers, and only
one had the power to make decisions as the executor. He lived
out of town and didn't really care about it all that much, and
didn't really care much for his 3 brothers either. This property
was also bought for about 80% of its value.
Conclusion: There are countless examples of deals that somebody
will tell you are great that not only won't make money, but will
cost you. The only way to really learn the Flipping game is to spend
time analyzing deals and determining what a property will sell for
if it were listed in MLS. There are too many individual situations,
and every situation is unique, while certain consistencies will
become apparent. With time, you will learn to evaluate deals
quickly. There is no fast way to learn this, and no book that can
teach you this. You must invest the time to learn it from personal
experience.
Exercises:
Place an ad in the local paper that reads "Real estate investor
will pay cash for good properties" or something to that effect (it
doesn't matter if you don't have any cash). You can also copy what
some of the other ads say if you aren't very creative. Evaluate 30
deals, but don't buy anything no matter how good a deal seems until
after you have thoroughly evaluated 30 deals. The reason you avoid
buying anything is that the odds are that none of the deals will be
very good and you are likely to make a mistake based on your lack of
experience. The objective is to learn to develop your "sense of
smell". When a really great deal does come along in the future, you
want to be able to figure it out quickly so you jump on it.
Do some property searches using the
Property
Search link one our website. Enter search parameters to find
homes with low price per square foot list prices. It's really easy
on the Dallas/Ft Worth search because you simply enter a maximum
price per square foot. You can find good deals this way, but be
prepared to jump on a great deal in case you find one because the
best deals go quick.
Other ways to find good deals:
- "Bandit signs" These are signs you post anywhere you can get
away with it, that say "We buy houses" or "Quick cash for your
home equity", or something to that effect.
- Look at some HUD homes in your area.
- Networking: Talk to people and let them know you are looking
for deals. The best deals are usually the ones you find out
about by accident.
- Find your niche. Try to figure out a way to find deals that
not everybody else is already doing.
The Fix
The profit of a Fix comes from one of 3 sources: 1) Having a
price advantage in getting remodeling work done; 2) Knowing what
improvements have the greatest potential of increasing property
value, and 3) Seeing potential that others may not readily see.
The first question you should ask yourself is: What "edge" do I
have that will make me a successful Fixer? If you are a bilingual
investor who can communicate with Mexican laborers, and knows how to
hire the right ones who will do a good job for very little money,
you have an edge. It would help even more if you have several
relatives who know construction and will help you, and will let you
use their expensive construction equipment for free.
If you think you can buy something and hire a general contractor
to do all the work, you are probably not going to do very well as a
Fixer, unless you have some other advantage.
Look for properties with "the right things wrong." That means
buying a house or condo where well-spent fix-up dollars will add
more market value than the cost. For example, fresh paint, inside
and outside, is known as the most profitable home improvement you
can make. Other examples of profitable home improvements include
adding a second bathroom to a one-bathroom house, installing new
light fixtures, adding fresh landscaping, and installing new carpets
or hardwood floors.
Perhaps you have an architectural or design background, and can
see some great potential in a home that was built 50 years ago and
sits right in the middle of the current trendy "Yuppieville" in your
city. With the right updates, a wall moved, a bathroom added, and
voila! A valuable trendy new old house ripe for its new Yuppie
owner.
The point is that there needs to be some reason why you deserve
to make a profit as a Fixer. Most novices vastly underestimate the
remodeling costs of their first project, and incur unnecessary
expenses before the project is finished.
There are some TV shows about home remodeling that can give you
some ideas. HGTV (Home & Garden TV) has all kinds of programs about
design ideas and remodeling projects. TLC (The Learning Channel) has
a show called "Flip That House". It gives actual case studies of
remodel projects from start to finish. The homes are usually a wreck
at the beginning, then design ideas and budgets are discussed,
problems and costs are reviewed, the final product gets a
walk-through by the listing agent, and profits are calculated.
(While it's fun to watch, bear in mind it is a TV show, and the
primary purpose is to get ratings. Note that they never talk about
how the buyers managed to find such a great deal in the first place;
the selling costs, carrying costs, and commissions are always left
out of the equation; and "projected sales price" and "actual" can be
two different things.)
Exercises:
If you have never hired Mexican day laborers, select an
improvement project for your house, and hire some day laborers to do
it with you. Gardening projects that involve lots of digging are
always fun. Perhaps you need a new walkway or patio. It pays to
learn how to do concrete jobs. The trick is in setting the forms
properly – the rest is cheap labor and cheap material. Tell the
workers you'll pay them $8 an hour if they do a so-so job, and $10
an hour if they work real hard. (I always end up paying them $10 an
hour anyway. Cash of course.)
You'll make more money in the long run if you learn some Spanish.
Get a translation book and have some fun with your workers as they
help you with your new language.
If you don't have much construction experience, go to Home Depot
and browse the do-it-yourself book section. Buy some books that
apply to some projects you might be doing.
More about day laborers
Usually from Mexico or another Central American country, most are
probably in the US illegally and come here to make money to take
back to their families. Most speak very little, if any, English.
Almost all of them are very hard–working, honest, and poor. They are
grateful when they get work, and very appreciative when they are
treated with kindness and respect. If you don't know where to find
them, ask any contractor.
A final note: When you hire them for the day, part of the deal is
that you buy them lunch. I suggest a nearby Mexican fast food place
(Taco Bell is NOT a favorite – that's for gringos). If you aren't
sure what to buy, take one or all of them along with you. They don't
want sandwiches or your home cooking; they want tacos and burritos
and fajitas.
The Hold
Time erases just about all investor mistakes made in failures of
Flipping or Fixing. At least that's what the investor thinks. So,
you paid too much, spent too much, now you can't sell it unless you
are willing to lose $20,000? Maybe you'll feel better if you rent it
out for 10 years and then sell it after it has gained a little
equity.
If you have a full-time job, don't have the time to hunt down
good deals or learn Spanish, you might be best off buying properties
at market value that don't need any work, and let time build your
equity. If you are 30 years old, and can buy one house or condo
every year with the goal of simply breaking even in the beginning,
you will have a very substantial nest egg by the time you are 50.
Exercises:
Get out your calculator. Assume that whatever you buy will double
in value in 15 years. Make it a goal to find 10 properties that can
be purchased such that you will break even after all expenses,
including a 5% vacancy factor and maintenance. It shouldn't be too
difficult to do based on 20% down payments, but see if you can find
any deals where the formula works with 5% or 10% down. (The nicer
the property, the more difficult it will be to make the numbers, but
the appreciation will be better.)
Factor in an average rent increase of 10% per year. Although this
will fluctuate, rents tend to increase by at least that much over
the long run. To make sure you aren't miscalculating the rents, put
yourself in the shoes of a prospective tenant and go out and see
what's available out there.
Now assume you buy something at a price that has Flip potential,
and you fix it up without spending very much. Now you have some
equity. Instead of selling it, you rent it out and get a little cash
flow. Maybe your calculator will tell you to refinance it and
reinvest the extra money in another property. If you can master
these steps with a few properties a year, you can start to see the
reality of wealth coming your way.
Conclusion
If all this sounds like too much work, then don't quit your day
job yet. It's human nature to wish for and to pursue the elusive
"secret". Well, the secret is that there ain't no secret. It's a
learning curve like with anything else, and your initial goal should
just be to avoid losing money. When you get good at all the things
suggested in the above exercises, you'll be able to make some money.
If you have a full time job that pays you over $80,000 a year,
you will probably make more money on an hourly basis at your job
than doing your typical Flips and Fixes.
Investors that have the most success generally make their profits
doing a combination of Flips, Fixes, and Holds. Greed and impatience
lead to mistakes and losses. Wealth comes from hard work and
consistency over time.
Written by John Prell, who has over 30 years experience
in various capacities in the real estate business, as an investor,
hard money lender, real estate consultant, businessman, general
contractor, and real estate broker. First-hand knowledge of the real
estate seminar business comes from insiders and promoters of the
Carlton Sheets seminars and others, as well as having dealt with
numerous seminar graduates over the years.