All About FICO Credit Scoring
A FICO score is an assessment of an individual's credit
worthiness based on a statistical analysis of the information
contained in his or her credit report. Sophisticated mathematical
processes calculate the summary by assigning numerical values to
various pieces of information in the credit report. Credit bureaus
provide risk scores to credit grantors who use them to objectively
evaluate an applicant's credit-worthiness. The score itself is
relative and will be viewed differently by creditors depending on
numerous factors, including the creditor's risk level, marketing
goals, and business practices. Your risk score will change over time
as your credit history develops.
The breakdown of your FICO score is as follows:
- 35% of the score is determined by payment histories on your
credit accounts, with recent history weighted a bit more heavily
than the distant past;
- 30% is based upon the amount of debt you have outstanding
with all creditors;
- 15% is produced on the basis of how long you've been a
credit user (a longer history is better if you've always made
timely payments);
- 10% is comprised of very recent history, and whether or not
you've been actively seeking (and getting) loans or credit lines
in the past few months;
- 10% is calculated from the mix of credit you hold, including
installment loans (like car loans), leases, mortgages, credit
cards, etc.
Other models being employed are sure to utilize these in various
weightings, plus other data that may be fed in to the model. These
might include your address or zip code, how often you've moved and
other public and private information about you.
What It Means
So, now you've got a score. Why should you care? Increasingly,
lenders are trying to fund loans with prices (rates, fees and terms)
that more precisely match your risk. In theory, someone with a 900
score should get much better rates than someone with a 650 score.
So far, though, it hasn't exactly worked that way, at least not
that precisely. There are several grades of credit which have
arisen, most notably below the 620 line (A-, B, C, D). But above the
620 line, everyone pretty much pays the same. Lenders can penalize
you for poorly managing credit, but don't much reward you for
effectively and wisely managing your debt, at least so far.
Why Score At All?
It's not as though consumers have been clamoring for some sort of
number, so why are we even bothering to go though this process for
each loan? In the past, mortgages have been pooled together for
sale, with these pools containing a range of credit risks -- all
pretty good, but some better than others, and some worse than
others. Some borrowers would be more likely to pay off their loans
early, and others might fail to make timely payments at all. The
securities derived from these pools each carried a vaguely known
level of risk to the investor, which made holding and hedging these
as a part of an investment portfolio a bit of a tricky business.
It's long been the desire of investors to be able to slice and
dice portfolios of mortgage loans to add or remove risk (and
rewards) to a larger investment portfolio. With known risk, a
greater level of performance could be assured. Investors are willing
to pay more for a greater level of precision, and began pressing the
industry to adopt a means to achieve it. Hence, credit scores; now,
a seller can put together a package of loans for sale that aren't
from a wide muddy pool of credit risks, but rather from a very
specific kind or kinds of borrowers, all with scores which are close
together.
Who Really Benefits
Credit Scoring is actually a good idea, at least on paper, and
some ways in practice, too. The sub-prime lending industry (for
borrowers with not-so-good credit) could not have been developed
without it. Certain borrowers have seen an explosion in the credit
available to them, with more competitors vying for their business,
lower rates and more choices in product. It's safe to say that
thousands of homeowners have credit scoring to thank for their
chance to get a mortgage. Credit Scoring is helping to make loan
approvals faster, simpler and more convenient for all kinds of
loans. At least so far, however, only folks at the bottom of the
scale have seen significant "rewards" for the adoption of Credit
Scoring on a wide basis in mortgage lending.
What's Bad About Scoring
In a word, secrecy. In the bad old days of mortgage lending, you
may have been judged by a person or committee who used some
subjective process to evaluate you, a process which may have been
arbitrary. You didn't know what they wanted to see in a borrower, so
you applied and hoped. Especially in the last 20 years, more and
more light has been let into the underwriting process, and that
knowledge turned into power for the consumer. Knowing where they
stood in a lender's eyes, potential borrowers went from place to
place in search of a better deal.
Credit Scoring is a high-tech way to draw a big, black curtain
between borrower and underwriter. Since the score data could not be
released to consumer, by both choice and contract, the power in
pricing returned to the lender. Armed with a score, the lender knows
precisely who you are... but you no longer have any idea exactly how
good or bad you appear.
For some loans, lenders have stopped even providing rate quotes
when you call. They want you to fill out an application first, so
they can extract a score for you, knowing full well that once you've
applied (and perhaps paid a fee) you're less likely to go elsewhere.
Why All the Secrecy, Anyway?
It's been a competitive stance by FICO not to release scores.
It's simple enough to understand that once that FICO proved that
scoring works, that other competing models would be developed. They
are, including entries from the credit bureaus, Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, and others.
But there's a good reason why they have resisted telling
consumers about their scores and what goes into them. The scoring
model depends upon consumers going about their business as usual,
paying or not paying bills on time, opening lines of credit and
getting credit cards as they normally would. If you knew that
closing out a Visa account you barely use might raise your score by
some amount, you would close it. That change in behavior, repeated
millions of times (and across the various kinds of credit weighting)
would distort or destroy the model, rendering the score and scoring
process worthless.
FICO has claimed that revealing the score to a consumer would
merely confuse the borrower even further, and that the score by
itself isn't useful without proper understanding of the process.
Scores Cause Overcharging?
Because you can't know how you appear, you might be charged far
in excess of what you might pay. Credit Scoring may have helped
foster "predatory lending", a situation where a borrower --
especially less sophisticated borrowers -- may fall victim to an
unscrupulous lender or broker. This can occur especially in cases
where a borrower fails to shop far and wide for a loan, and happens
largely in lesser-educated areas, and among the poor and elderly.
While the borrower might have pretty good credit, the salesperson
might only offer them loans with high rates, fees, or both; not
knowing that they might do far better elsewhere -- and lacking both
the score information and understanding of the process -- the
borrower signs on for the loan. If the borrower had access to
his/her score and a little knowledge of the lending process, they
could search more aggressively.
The secrecy surrounding credit scores is inherently
anti-consumer.
What's Coming
Enough pressure has been building around this issue that
regulators and even legislators are getting into the act. Recent,
Congress has been considering the Fair Credit Full Disclosure Act
(H.R. 2856), sponsored by Rep. Chris Cannon (R-Utah), but no action
has yet been take to advance the bill along. The California
legislature is also considering a law to force release of credit
scores. Soon, FICO and the credit reporting agencies TransUnion,
EquiFax and Experian are planning to provide evaluations of your
credit profile to you... for a fee.
In the meantime, if you are applying for a mortgage, you can
certainly ask what your credit score is. FICO has stated that it has
no specific objection to providing you with the number as part of a
financial transaction.
Direct link to Fair, Isaac & Co:
http://www.fairisaac.com